京都大学 防災研究所 水資源環境研究センター 社会・生態環境研究領域

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論文等(野原大督)

学術論文(査読付きジャーナル)

  • 野原大督・木谷和大・道広有理・角哲也:利水ダムにおける事前放流の意思決定へのECMWF中期アンサンブル予報の利用性の分析,土木学会論文集B1(水工学),Vol.76, No.2, I_829-I_834, 2020.
  • 野原大督・角哲也:浸水想定区域図やハザードマップを利用した全国の感染症指定医療機関の浸水想定状況の調査,自然災害科学,39(2), pp.101-112, 2020.
  • 岩本麻紀・野原大督・竹門康弘・小柴孝太・角哲也:亀岡盆地の流出・氾濫解析に基づくダム治水操作手法の有効性の比較検討,土木学会論文集B1(水工学),Vol.75, No.2, I_97-I_102, 2019.
  • 木谷和大・道広有理・野原大督・角哲也:ECMWFアンサンブル予測雨量の予測特性及びダム運用への活用に関する基礎的検討,土木学会論文集B1(水工学),Vol.74, No.5, I_1321-I_1326, 2018.
  • 野原大督・鈴木俊亮・佐藤嘉展:将来の河川流量変化に伴うダム利水操作への影響の評価と適応策に関する基礎的検討,土木学会論文集B1(水工学),Vol.74, No.5, I_85-I_90, 2018.
  • Nohara, D.: Reservoir operation for water supply considering operational ensemble hydrological predictions, Journal of Disaster Research, Vol.13, No.4, pp.650-659, 2018.
  • 鈴木俊亮・野原大督・佐藤嘉展:将来の河川流量の変化がダム貯水池の利水運用に与える潜在的影響に関する一考察,土木学会論文集B1(水工学),Vol.74, No.4, I_115-I_120, 2018.
  • 野原大督・佐藤嘉展:現業中長期アンサンブル降水予測情報を考慮した実時間ダム利水操作に関する研究,土木学会論文集B1(水工学),Vol.73, No.4, I_1315-I_1320, 2017.
  • 得津萌佳・野原大督:アンサンブル水文予測情報を考慮したダム利水操作の効果分析手法の検討,土木学会論文集B1(水工学),Vol.72, No.4, I_1213-I_1218, 2016.
  • Nohara, D.: Impact analysis of stochastic inflow prediction with reliability and discrimination indices on long-term reservoir operation, Journal of Hydroinformatics, 16(2), pp.487-501, 2014.
  • Nohara, D., Miki, H. and Hori, T.: Impact analysis of long-term stochastic inflow prediction and its uncertainty on reservoir operation during drought situation, in Considering Hydrological Change in Reservoir Planning and Management, IAHS Publications, 362, pp.83-90, 2013.
  • 天井洋平・野原大督・堀智晴・角哲也:予測流入量情報を用いたダム事前放流操作の影響分析手法に関する基礎的検討,土木学会論文集B1(水工学)Vol.69, No.4, I_1627-I1632, 2013.
  • 野原大督・坪井亜美・堀智晴:長期貯水池最適操作へのアンサンブル降水予報の活用方法に関する基礎的検討、水工学論文集、第54巻、pp. 253-258、2010.
  • DAISUKE NOHARA, AMI TSUBOI & TOMOHARU HORI: Long-term reservoir operation optimized by DP models with one-month ensemble forecast of precipitation, IAHS Publications, No.331, pp.284-295, 2009.
  • 野原大督・岡田知也・堀智晴:地球規模気象情報を利用した渇水時貯水池操作のための長期降水予測に関する研究、水工学論文集、第53巻、pp.541-546、2009.
  • 野原大督, 小尻利治 : 地球規模気象情報を考慮した学習型貯水池操作支援システム, 水文・水資源学会誌, 第19巻, 第1号, pp.25-43, 2006.

国際会議プロシーディングス

  • Iwamoto, M., Nohara, D., Takemon, Y., Koshiba, T. and Sumi, T.: Optimal reservoir flood control considering large floods based on rainfall-runoff-inundation analysis, Proc. the 22nd IAHR-APD Congress 2020, Sapporo, 2020.
  • Nohara, D., Iwamoto, M., Takemon, Y. and Sumi, T.: Optimized reservoir operation for flood control under extreme events based on rainfall-runoff-inundation analysis in the upper Katsura River basin, Japan, Proc. 38th IAHR World Congress, pp.1458-1465, 2019.
  • Nohara, D., Takemon, T. and Sumi, T.: Real-time flood management and preparedness: Lessons from floods across the western Japan in 2018, Proc. SimHydro 2019, Sophia Antipolis, 2019.
  • Nohara, D. and Sumi, T.: Effective operation of reservoir and sediment bypass tunnel considering inflow prediction of water and sediment, Proc. The 3rd International Workshop on Sediment Bypass Tunnels, pp.222-229, 2019.
  • Nohara, D., Suzuki, S. and Sato, Y.: Impact assessment of climate change on operation of reservoir systems for water use in Japan, Proc. 21st IAHR-APD Congress, Yogyakarta, pp.755-764, 2018.
  • Nohara, D. and Saito, H.: Assessment on Effects of Preliminary Release Operation of a Multi-purpose Reservoir Considering Ensemble Inflow Prediction, EPiC Series in Engineering, Vol.3 (Proc. 13th International Conference on Hydroinformatics, Palermo), pp.1568-1574, 2018.
  • Suzuki, S., Nohara, D. and Sato, Y.: A fundamental study for impact assessment of climate change on operation of reservoir systems for water supply in Japan, Proc. 37th IAHR World Congress, Kuala Lumpur, pp.4561-4570, 2017.
  • Nohara, D. and Sato, Y.: Real-time reservoir operation for drought management considering operational ensemble predictions of precipitation in Japan, Proc. SimHydro 2017, Sophia Antipolis, PaperID 15(10pp.), 2017.
  • Nohara, D. and Saito, H..: A framework to assess effectiveness and risks of integrated reservoir operation for flood management considering ensemble hydrological prediction, Proc. XVI World Water Congress, Cancun, ABSID359 (14pp.), 2017.
  • Tokutsu, M., Nohara, D. and Hori, T.: A Monte Carlo-based method to analyze effectiveness of reservoir operation for water supply considering imperfect ensemble inflow prediction, Proc. of the 7th International Conference on Water Resources and Environment Research, S07-02(6pp), 2016.
  • Nohara, D.: Planning support for prior release operation of a multi-purpose reservoir considering real-time hydrological prediction based on the Monte Carlo Simulation, Proc. 36th IAHR World Congress, The Hague, pp.6689-6696, 2015.
  • Amai, Y. and Nohara, D.: Prior release operation of a multipurpose reservoir for flood control based on accuracy assessment of real-time hydrological prediction, Proc. 19th IAHR-APD Congress 2014, Hanoi, 2014. (8pp)
  • Nohara, D.: Real-time reservoir operation for drought management considering ensemble streamflow prediction derived from operational ensemble forecast of precipitation in Japan, Proc. 11th International Conference on Hydroinformatics, New York, 2014. (8pp)
  • Nishioka, Y., Nohara, D. and Hori, T.: Decision support for flood control operation of a multi-purpose reservoir considering operational one-week ensemble forecast of precipitation, Proc. 11th International Conference on Hydroinformatics, New York, 2014. (8pp)
  • Nohara, D., Nishioka, Y. and Hori, T.: Real-time reservoir operation for flood management considering ensemble streamflow prediction and its uncertainty, Proc. SymHydro 2014, Sophia Antipolis, 2014.
  • Amai, Y., Nohara, D. and Hori, T.: A fundamental impact analysis of prior release operation for flood management based on inflow prediction at a multi-purpose reservoir, Proc. ICWRER 2013, Koblenz, pp.54-68, 2014.
  • Nohara, D. and Hori, T.: Real-time reservoir operation for drought management considering operational ensemble predictions of precipitation in Japan, Proc. of the Smart Water Grid International Conference 2013, Incheon, 2013. (6pp)
  • Nohara, D., Sumi, T. and Kantoush, S.: Real-time sediment inflow prediction for sediment bypass operation at Miwa Dam in Japan, Advances in River Sediment Research, Proc. 12th International Symposium on River Sedimentation, Kyoto, pp.1211-1217, 2013.
  • Nohara, D. and Hori, T.: Reservoir operation considering various kinds of real-time hydro-meteorological information: An adaptive approach for sustainable water resources management with existing water infrastructures, Proc. of 35th IAHR World Congress, Chengdu, 2013. (12pp)
  • Nohara, D.: IMPACT ANALYSIS OF RELIABILITY AND DISCRIMINABILITY INDEX OF STOCHASTIC INFLOW PREDICTION AND ITS APPLICATION TO LONG-TERM RESERVOIR OPERATION, Proceedings of 10th International Conference on Hydroinformatics, Hamburg, 2012. (8pp)
  • D. Nohara, H. Miki and T. Hori: Long-term Reservoir Operation Considering Large-scale Meteorological Conditions Well-correlated with Basin Precipitation, Proc. of 34th IAHR World Congress, Engineers Australia, pp.575-582, 2011.
  • Nohara, D., Okada, T. and Hori, T.: DSS FOR LONG-TERM RESERVOIR OPERATION CONSIDERING GLOBAL INFORMATION OF PRESSURE HEIGHT DISTRIBUTION WITH CONSIDERATION OF REAL-TIME DATA SEARCHING PROCESS, Proc. of 9th International Conference on Hydroinformatics HIC2010, pp.2277-2284, 2010.
  • D. Nohara, A. Tsuboi, T. Hori : Long-term Reservoir Operation Using One-month Ensemble Forecast of Precipitation for Introduction to a DSS, Proceedings of 33rd IAHR Congress: Water Engineering for a Sustainable Environment, IAHR, pp.4215-4222, 2009.
  • Daisuke NOHARA, Tomoya OKADA, Homoharu HORI: Long-term Precipitation Prediction for Reservoir Operation Based on Global Meteorological Information, Proc. of 4th International Conference of Asia Pacific Association of Hydrology and Water Resources, Beijing, S2-03, 2008.
  • Daisuke NOHARA, Tomoya OKADA, Homoharu HORI: Extraction Algorithm of Global Meteorological and Hydrological Information for Application to Reservoir Operation, Proc. of the 8th International Conference of Hydro-science and Engineering, Nagoya: Advances in Hydro-science and Engineering Vol. 8,  S.S.Y. Wang, M. Kawahara, K.P. Holtz, T. Tsujimoto and Y. Toda (eds),published by T. Tsujimoto, Nagoya University, Aichi, Japan, pp.2155-2164, 2008.
  • Nohara, D., T. Kojiri, and K. Tomosugi : A Study on Decision Support System for Continuous Reservoir Operation with Artificial Intelligence, Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Hydrology and Water Resources in Asia Pacific Region, vol.1, pp.121-126, 2003.

著書

  • Nohara, D., Takemon, Y. and Sumi, T.: Real-time flood management and preparedness: Lessons from floods across the western Japan in 2018, Advances in Hydroinformatics - Models for Extreme Situations and Crisis Management, Gourbesville, P. and Guy, C. (eds.), Springer Water, Springer, Singapore, pp.287-304, 2020.
  • Nohara, D. and Sato, Y.: Real-time reservoir operation for drought management considering operational ensemble predictions of precipitation in Japan, Advances in Hydroinformatics SIMHYDRO 2017 - Choosing the Right Model in Applied Hydraulics, Gourbesville, P., Cunge, J. and Caignaert, G.(eds.), Springer Water, Springer, Singapore, pp.331-345, 2018. (ISBN 978-981-10-7218-5).
  • 野原大督:4.4.2 貯水池システムの操作,土木計画学ハンドブック,土木学会土木計画学ハンドブック編集委員会,コロナ社、pp.378-382, 2017. (ISBN 978-4-339-05252-7)
  • Nohara, D.: Chapter 5 Integrated Reservoir Operation Considering Real-time Hydrological Prediction for Adaptive Water Resources Management, Sustainable Water Resources Planning and Management under Climate Change, Kolkytha, E., Oishi, S. and Teegavarapu, R.S.V. (eds.), Springer Singapore, pp.101-132, 2017. (ISBN 978-981-10-2049-0/978-981-10-2051-3, DOI: 10.1007/978-981-10-2051-3, published in November, 2016)
  • Nohara, D., Nishioka, Y., Hori, T. and Sato, Y.: Real-time reservoir operation for flood management considering ensemble streamflow prediction and its uncertainty, Advances in Hydroinformatics SIMHYDRO2014, Gourbesville, P., Cunge, J. and Caignaert, G.(Eds.), Springer, pp.333-347, 2015. (ISBN 978-981-287-614-0, 978-981-287-615-7 (eBook), DOI:10.1007/978-981-287-615-7)
  • Nohara, D., T. Kojiri, and P. J. Smith : Heuristic DSS for reservoir operation considering global meteorological information, Floods, from Defense to Management - Symposium Papers, Proceedings of 3rd International Symposium on Flood Defense, - Van Alphen, van Beek & Taal (eds) Taylor & Francis Group, London, pp.361-370, 2005.

解説・報告

  • 野原大督:「感染症+水害」への対応―全国感染症指定医療機関の浸水想定状況,季刊現代警察, 啓正社, 162, 21-27, 2020.
  • 野原大督:水害応急対応段階における水工学者からみた法的課題―危機の想定力の向上と対応行動の合理化に向けて,法律時報, 91(8), 79-81, 2019.
  • 角哲也・竹門康弘・野原大督:ダムの洪水調節操作と今後の課題,京都大学防災研究所平成30年7月豪雨災害調査報告書,78-83, 2019.
  • 野原大督(分担執筆):2.1.8 水循環, 研究開発の俯瞰報告書ー環境・エネルギー分野(2019年), 国立研究開発法人科学技術振興機構研究開発戦略センター, 370-378, 2019.
  • 角哲也,野原大督:平成30年7月豪雨でのダム治水操作と今後の課題,ダム工学,29(1), 28-33, 2019.
  • Nohara, D., Gourbesville, P. and Ma, Q.: Towards Development of Effective Decision Support Systems for Integrated Water Resources Planning and Management, Annuals of Disas. Prev. Res. Inst., Kyoto Univ., No.61B, pp.702-710, 2018.
  • 野原大督・齋藤宏樹・HAPSARI Ratih Indri: 模擬作成されたアンサンブル流入量予測情報の再現性-ダム洪水操作計画への適用に向けて-,京都大学防災年報,第61号,B, pp.696-701, 2018.
  • Galvao, C.O., Kim, Y.O., Kolokytha, E., Mondal, A., Mujumdar, P., Nohara, D., Oishi, S., Ranzi, R. and Teegavarapu, R.: The contribution of IAHR's communities of water management and climate change towards the SDGs, Hydrolink, No.3/2017, pp.77-79, 2017.
  • 野原大督:5. 琵琶湖疏水周辺で地震が発生した場合における京都市の水供給,特集記事琵琶湖疏水の耐震性を考える―琵琶湖西岸断層帯が活動した場合の地殻変動と強振動の影響-(飛田哲男総括),自然災害科学,36(1), pp.30-33, 2017.
  • 吉谷純一,堀智晴,田中茂信,野原大督:国際セミナー「カリフォルニア水計画2013:統合水資源管理のロードマップ」開催,河川,827,pp.63-69, 2015.
  • 野原大督:欧州と日本の河川管理における類似点と相違点,水文・水資源学会誌,28(5), シリーズ「発想のたまご」,pp.263-264, 2015.
  • 天井洋平,野原大督,角哲也:予測流入量情報を用いたダム事前放流操作の影響分析手法に関する基礎的検討,京都大学防災研究所年報,第56号,B,pp.617-624, 2013.
  • 野原大督・角哲也:ローヌ川ダム群による2012年フラッシング連携排砂、ダム技術、No.322, pp.26-37, 2013.
  • 野原大督,三木博子:渇水時貯水池操作における長期確率流量情報の利用性に関する一考察,京都大学防災研究所年報,第56号,B,pp.639-646, 2013.
  • 野原大督:予測情報の不確実性を考慮した貯水池利水操作における確率流況予測情報の利用性分析手法の開発,京都大学防災研究所年報,第56号,B,pp.625-637, 2013.
  • 野原大督,三木博子:長期貯水池操作のための多様な全球気象情報の利用可能性,京都大学防災研究所年報,第54号,B,pp.699-709,2011.
  • 平井基弘,野原大督,堀智晴:分布型流出モデルを用いた流域スケールでの水利用環境の評価,京都大学防災研究所年報,第53号,B,pp.715-722,2010.
  • 河野真典,野原大督,堀智晴,萩原良巳,萩原清子:上下流域における生活者参加型の水辺環境マネジメント,京都大学防災研究所年報,第53号,B,pp.803-811,2010.
  • 野原大督,岡田知也,堀智晴:全球気圧高度分布情報を用いた長期降水予測とその貯水池操作への利用性に関する基礎的検討,京都大学防災研究所年報,第53号,B,pp.707-713,2010.
  • 野原大督,坪井亜美,堀智晴:長期貯水池操作へのアンサンブル降水予報導入時における最適化モデルの放流決定過程に関する一考察,京都大学防災研究所年報,第52号,B,pp.753-764,2009.
  • 野原大督,岡田知也,堀智晴:地球規模気象情報を用いた渇水時貯水池操作のための降水予測手法に関する研究,京都大学防災研究所年報,第51号,B,pp.749-758,2008.
  • 野原大督,小尻利治,友杉邦雄:分布型流出モデルを用いた山地による洪水緩和機能の検討,実践水文システム研究会報告書,第6号,pp.126-135, 2002.

調査報告等

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